Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 6.792947 7.864279 9.011659 10.327617 11.790786 13.363309 15.176652
2025-03-30 5.242028 6.691617 8.360689 10.406984 12.829630 15.587665 18.945178
2025-04-06 3.912659 5.497595 7.454082 10.005871 13.202160 17.028059 21.904417
2025-04-13 2.918849 4.512347 6.617528 9.528169 13.366743 18.171102 24.543899
2025-04-20 2.472953 4.153616 6.505943 9.918747 14.609962 20.690967 29.009040
2025-04-27 2.237188 4.040744 6.693686 10.701326 16.400760 24.000353 34.652402
2025-05-04 1.991927 3.863445 6.751552 11.283900 17.935579 27.036029 40.074593
2025-05-11 1.674036 3.507742 6.485901 11.348922 18.719342 29.067889 44.221727
2025-05-18 1.348915 3.073537 6.031117 11.064011 18.946278 30.305143 47.302143
2025-05-25 1.094253 2.712007 5.638846 10.820844 19.191470 31.548949 50.410874
2025-06-01 0.915521 2.457500 5.389722 10.771923 19.709584 33.188164 54.120591
2025-06-08 0.760483 2.216349 5.127833 10.666167 20.113883 34.656289 57.616130
2025-06-15 0.698385 2.172184 5.237165 11.228318 21.657210 37.956016 64.003457
2025-06-22 0.598960 2.018262 5.112995 11.361041 22.497888 40.213145 68.923134
2025-06-29 0.468776 1.751423 4.720230 10.957859 22.400538 40.991826 71.626864
2025-07-06 0.356942 1.495042 4.304307 10.459303 22.090532 41.400184 73.757244
2025-07-13 0.323718 1.455735 4.361397 10.888400 23.439272 44.538223 80.236939
2025-07-20 0.317822 1.500469 4.617213 11.735649 25.582005 49.050673 89.010123
2025-07-27 0.299336 1.499217 4.762920 12.365201 27.353861 53.003749 96.999101
2025-08-03 0.255353 1.396511 4.647227 12.436952 28.093760 55.253477 102.322661
2025-08-10 0.202578 1.239647 4.368868 12.131683 28.100808 56.255396 105.650946
2025-08-17 0.160917 1.105404 4.124061 11.870724 28.167448 57.348291 109.143365
2025-08-24 0.132903 1.014587 3.980174 11.818432 28.627971 59.126635 113.795986